FISM イベント分析: USDJPY スパイク 40.4pip¶
⚠️ 本レポートは監視・参考用です。取引推奨ではありません。 スコア・しきい値は経験則ベースで予測根拠は未検証。 観測地点は自宅 1 拠点のみ。
- 発生時刻: 2026-08-03 03:51:20 UTC (12:51 JST)
- 検出 kind:
spike_range - 対象:
USDJPY - 指標: 40.4pip (hi-lo レンジ)
- 1分足の中身: O=155.839 H=155.911 L=155.507 C=155.510
- その分の ticks/minute: 373
分析ウィンドウ: 事前 60分 / 事後 30分
1. ウィンドウ集計 (前60min平均 / 直前5min / 直後5min / イベント時)¶
| 指標 | 前60min | 直前5min | 直後5min | イベント時 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| spread_avg | 0.0028 | 0.0047 | — | 0.0037 |
| spread_max | 0.0130 | 0.0945 | — | 0.0770 |
| ticks_per_minute | 227.9 | 417.5 | — | 373.0 |
| atr_14 | 0.0363 | 0.0387 | — | 0.0334 |
| ping_avg (target平均) | 6.3153 | 6.0833 | — | 7.8333 |
| ping_max | 12.7 | 12.0 | — | 16.0 |
| packet_loss% (target最大) | 5.4054 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| network_score | 2.7027 | 0.0000 | — | 0.0000 |
| market_score | 20.3 | 69.0 | — | 65.0 |
| info_score | 35.4 | 40.0 | — | 40.0 |
2. info_shock (GDELT 1h件数) — 発生 ±60min¶
| 時刻 (UTC/JST) | 分差 | USDJPY | boj | fomc_fed | yen_intervention |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:51 / 11:51 | +60min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 02:56 / 11:56 | +55min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:02 / 12:02 | +49min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:07 / 12:07 | +44min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:12 / 12:12 | +39min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:17 / 12:17 | +34min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:22 / 12:22 | +29min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:28 / 12:28 | +23min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:33 / 12:33 | +17min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:40 / 12:40 | +11min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 03:46 / 12:46 | +5min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3. external_events (クラウド/サービス障害)¶
| 時刻 | source | service | severity | title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:32 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | LHR (London) on 2026-08-04 |
| 03:32 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | LHR (London) on 2026-08-03 |
| 03:32 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | LHR (London) on 2026-08-02 |
| 03:41 | CloudflareStatus | Cloudflare | info | TXL (Berlin) on 2026-08-03 |
4. ±10min の 1分足詳細¶
| 時刻(UTC) | 分差 | open | high | low | close | spread_avg | tpm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:42 | -9 | 155.688 | 155.739 | 155.579 | 155.632 | 0.0038 | 348 |
| 03:43 | -8 | 155.591 | 155.738 | 155.517 | 155.531 | 0.0034 | 352 |
| 03:45 | -6 | 155.374 | 155.435 | 155.274 | 155.274 | 0.0035 | 351 |
| 03:48 | -3 | 155.687 | 155.875 | 155.548 | 155.875 | 0.0059 | 407 |
| 03:49 | -2 | 155.743 | 155.956 | 155.712 | 155.822 | 0.0035 | 428 |
| 03:51 | +0 | 155.839 | 155.911 | 155.507 | 155.510 | 0.0037 | 373 |
FISM 自動生成: 2026-08-03T03:52:20+00:00 / window pre=60min post=30min
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